Japan Zinssatz

The Bank of Japan’s risk of falling behind the curve has not increased markedly, a summary of opinions at its January meeting showed. Still, careful and timely policy execution is seen as increasingly vital. With real interest rates still deeply negative, and assuming the central bank’s outlook for activity and prices holds, further rate hikes are considered appropriate. The board is gauging each move’s impact on growth, inflation, and financial conditions, pursuing gradual tightening, though policy remains highly accommodative amid yen weakness Underlying inflation has moved closer to the 2% target, supporting the case for continued adjustments. Looking ahead, shifts in overseas rate environments could heighten the risk of lagging policy. Japan’s real policy rate remains the lowest globally, and forex markets’ sensitivity to rate differentials underscores the need to narrow the gap. Yen weakness and rising yields largely reflect fundamentals, leaving timely hikes as the key response.